Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 6.239307 7.128800 8.112823 9.284300 10.643744 12.174921 14.034829
2025-03-09 4.931126 6.050692 7.389335 9.115565 11.293708 13.965247 17.512352
2025-03-16 4.112449 5.312098 6.829565 8.904563 11.690746 15.334251 20.511748
2025-03-23 3.750468 5.056370 6.787965 9.276126 12.799232 17.668215 25.009374
2025-03-30 3.390967 4.739503 6.600351 9.389739 13.523838 19.517759 29.036450
2025-04-06 3.055124 4.405913 6.335773 9.338044 13.970934 20.981120 32.645417
2025-04-13 2.764671 4.100087 6.068305 9.234492 14.302591 22.276415 36.126668
2025-04-20 2.613224 3.981420 6.059601 9.513404 15.243745 24.612863 41.596188
2025-04-27 2.464274 3.848676 6.010639 9.713834 16.066781 26.835194 47.158134
2025-05-04 2.365471 3.783458 6.057928 10.069589 17.179657 29.665133 54.186019
2025-05-11 2.161466 3.527051 5.767384 9.817949 17.198661 30.557155 57.707475
2025-05-18 2.004573 3.334802 5.565195 9.695986 17.429098 31.846372 62.156223
2025-05-25 1.864166 3.161093 5.383189 9.598519 17.706408 33.279966 67.160872
2025-06-01 1.730246 2.987368 5.185721 9.451998 17.872266 34.514269 71.933269
2025-06-08 1.599800 2.808805 4.963623 9.235343 17.872979 35.410520 76.095848
2025-06-15 1.565415 2.801095 5.051551 9.622403 19.124707 39.024833 86.892778
2025-06-22 1.497922 2.726140 5.006676 9.740709 19.831610 41.566564 95.603887
2025-06-29 1.414917 2.615145 4.883387 9.686896 20.164290 43.325220 102.702672
2025-07-06 1.332686 2.499276 4.741005 9.579099 20.365537 44.808291 109.346666
2025-07-13 1.300610 2.478849 4.785326 9.869456 21.485919 48.554395 122.449809
2025-07-20 1.261624 2.441489 4.791995 10.078130 22.441779 52.031075 135.444067
2025-07-27 1.240553 2.438609 4.868805 10.448559 23.819139 56.720921 152.645436
2025-08-03 1.161630 2.310793 4.674030 10.186534 23.643525 57.474083 158.705830